Bailouts, Real Estate and the Destruction of the American Dream
Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008There has been quite a bit written in the blogosphere about the “bailout” of our crumbling financial system. I don’t much feel like rehashing what’s been written, but I would like to state my opinion and cite some of my favorite blogposts on the topic, as I have had some time to ponder the issues. And finally, I would like to explore how this affects the real estate market and real estate investing.
First off, when I first heard about the proposed “bailout”, my gut reaction was that a bailout of any sort goes against the notions of free markets and capitalism. You mess up, you pay the price. You do well, you get rewarded. Isn’t that why immigrants come to this country? It sure is why my parents and I came here when I was 14: the opportunity to make something of yourself and your life, regardless of your connections to the KGB. What kind of message are we sending to corporations and other entities? It’s OK to fail. Your job is safe, the taxpayer will bail you out. Corporate greed is OK too.
Then I thought about it, and perhaps some kind of action plan is necessary (well, it was necessary a while ago, but our leaders were too busy telling us that the fundamentals are strong). What we need is not a bailout. Something different. Not sure what, yet. If the financial markets keep spiraling down into this vortex, the impact on the country’s economic health could be catastrophic. But how catastrophic? Would it be more damaging than the $700 billion + bailout is to the taxpayer’s wallet? It’s hard to say. But what if this bailout still doesn’t solve the problem? That’s entirely possible too. To ensure that it works, there needs to be a stronger plan of action vs. a fuzzy “blank check” approach. I find Robert Reich’s blogpost the most illuminating writing on the topic in terms of a strong action plan and concrete rules and oversights to be put in place.
Finally, Paulson’s connections to the Street make the whole thing appear just a bit too fishy for my taste. And the Section 8 is just the last straw. It reads exactly like this:
Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.
Did that make anyone else’s hairs on the back of the neck stand up? Eeeekkk! We are headed towards something very very bad in this country. We are allowing an ex-Goldman guy to have unilateral control (without being reviewed by a court of law!!) to make decisions on the Wall St. bailout. That would make it very easy to cover stuff up, wouldn’t it? Hmmm…. And no one can investigate…
When did it become OK for the American public to give up all control of their lives and decision making to folks who supposedly should be acting in the interests of the public, but have way too much conflict of interest to actually do so? How did we allow ourselves to be scared into Patriot Act and the Iraq war? And now we are being scared into passing this piece of steaming shiitake? Are we still a democracy? Sure doesn’t feel like it. Feels like we are headed towards a dictatorship, a military state. I am exceedingly concerned for this country and the ease with which the American Dream and Democracy are being annihilated in front of our very own eyes. Our founding fathers must be rolling over in their graves.
So… I must somehow bring this back to real estate and real estate investing. How does this affect real estate investing? Well, in the same way as this whole mess has been affecting real estate for the past year or so (this mess started in real estate, if you remember). It is close to impossible to get a mortgage for an investor (and now, as of Dec 1, Fannie won’t allow to finance more than 4 properties per person, including primary residence). So forget about conventional channels. If you want to take advantage of good deals, you must learn and implement creative real estate investing (seller financing, subject-to, private lending, etc.)
Everyone is cautious, however; homeowners and investors are waiting for the market to hit bottom before moving. And now that the sky is falling, and we seem to be writing a blank check signed by the American Taxpayer, Joe Investor who is hoping to work the foreclosure market and get some cashflow properties is a bit more afraid of his future and is a bit more hesitant to act. Investing for cashflow, if you follow creative real estate strategies, remains a viable strategy. As far as other exit strategies, it’s a bit more dicey… Jim Homeowner to whom Joe Investor hopes to sell his rehab is also more hesitant; he is more concerned about keeping his job than straddling himself with a new liability in the form of a new house. And now that Jim Homeowner is funding a bailout of epic proportions, well, there goes his saved up 20%+ downpayment that he now needs to buy a house.


![Reblog this post [with Zemanta]](http://img.zemanta.com/reblog_e.png?x-id=0245d8eb-02da-4b09-b0ca-d41fb1d86178)

